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Usability & InteractionMember ingredient
Projection Bias
Current tastes or conditions can be projected too strongly onto a future state, even when people recognise that some change will occur.
Public evidence overview
One checked source, with its limits.
This preview is not the complete evidence base. Use it as a question to investigate in your own product, not as a prediction of what an individual will do.
Checked source previewAcademic paper
Prediction Biases: An Integrative Review
Research-assisted source review
- What it supports
- A forecast can overpredict at one end and underpredict at another, so studying one condition alone can hide disappearance or reversal of the apparent bias.
- Where it may not transfer
- The framework is a narrative theoretical integration rather than a meta-analysis, and situation-insensitivity is one possible account among domain-specific mechanisms.
See how sources and limitations are checked in our editorial method.
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