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Decision MakingMember ingredient

Ambiguity Effect

When outcome probabilities are unclear, some people prefer a comparable option with known probabilities—but not in every context.

Public evidence overview

One checked source, with its limits.

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Checked source previewAcademic paper

Ambiguity Attitudes

Research-assisted source review

What it supports
Findings on moderators, psychological mechanisms and external validity were mixed; ambiguity attitudes vary across sources, likelihoods, outcomes, methods and individuals.
Where it may not transfer
This is a narrative chapter rather than a pooled effect estimate. The field evidence reviewed was limited, so a laboratory ambiguity measure should not be treated as a reliable predictor of a person's behaviour in every product context.
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