Illusion of Control
People can overestimate how much their action influences an outcome that is partly or wholly determined by chance.
Public evidence overview
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Recent Developments in the Experimental Investigation of the Illusion of Control: A Meta-Analytic Review
Research-assisted source review
- What it supports
- The weighted mean effect was moderate to large, D=.62 with a 95% confidence interval from .49 to .75, but study effects and measures were highly heterogeneous.
- Where it may not transfer
- Substantial heterogeneity suggests included studies may capture different processes. A pooled experimental effect does not establish prevalence, harm or an interface-specific causal mechanism.
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